Model building for tourism enterprises innovative potential forecast

Lokhman, Natalya and Лохман, Наталя Володимирівна and Лохман, Наталья Владимировна and Chernega, Oksana and Чернега, Оксана Богданівна and Чернега, Оксана Богдановна (2018) Model building for tourism enterprises innovative potential forecast. Вісник Донецького університету економіки і торгівлі імені Михайла Туган-Барановського (2(69)). pp. 132-141. ISSN 2079-4819

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Abstract

On the basis of automated calculations, factor pair correlation relationships are determined. The obtained results give grounds for conclusions about the adequacy of the obtained regression equations in the study of tourist enterprises. Therefore, from each cluster (explorers, violents, patches, commutators) enterprises are selected and marked as markers for further modeling and forecasting in order to display the results according to each cluster. Trend patterns of each tourist enterprise have an appropriate deterministic component of the time series, reflecting the integral indicator of the intensity of the development of innovation potential, which is shaped by constantly affecting components (financial, personnel, logistical, informational). That is, the choice of such marker companies (TO Accord-Tour, TA "Sea of Tours", "Fairy", and "Coral Travel") are of representative nature, and certain predictive trends can be applied to other enterprises of the corresponding cluster.

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